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Showing posts with label severe. Show all posts
Showing posts with label severe. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 8, 2017

Radar Reflectivity: March 1, 2017 Severe Weather Event

March 1, 2017 Severe Weather Event

Strong linear storms, sparked by an incoming cold front, swept across most of the eastern united states. There was also strong forcing along the impending cold front, as shown in figure 1. Due to the very warm temperatures prior to the cold front with steep mid-level lapse rates and some wind shear, that encouraged the storms to become severe. However, the Georgia area had enough instability for convective development which gave way to the watches and warnings which were issued throughout the day from 11:50 AM to about 9:00 PM, as you can see in figure 2. Strong winds downed many trees and power lines, leaving roughly 32,000 people without power. Meanwhile, further north, the great smoky mountains national park, straddling Tennessee and North Carolina, closed all roads due to the high wind danger. Many reports of hail were also recorded and even one brief tornado in northern Georgia. The QLCS (quasi-linear convective system) tornado had 90 MPH winds, the EF-1 tornado touched down near Chatsworth, GA, tracking three miles west of Chatsworth. As you can see in figure 3, the cell to the northeast of the red point (Chatsworth, GA) seems to be the one from which produced a tornado. Unfortunately, the closest radar, KHTC in Hunstville/Hytop, AL, was down due to the power outages thus the next closest radar was used, KFFC in Atlanta, GA. The NWS (national weather service), from KFFC, provided figure 4 which shows the storm when it produced the EF-1 tornado over Chatsworth, GA at about 4:30 PM. This system also produced up to golfball sized hail and peeled back roofs. However, as the system continued to move southeast into central Georgia, the storms weakened substantially. Nonetheless, before dying out, this system produced roughly five dozen tornadoes, over 600 high wind reports, and over 100 large hail reports as it tore through parts of the Midwest, South and East United Stated from February 28 to March 1, 2017, making it the largest severe weather outbreak since late spring 2011.

Figure 1


Figure 2


Figure 3


Figure 4

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Focus on the Environmental and Societal Impacts: Severe Pollution Episodes

Understanding Weather and Climate (7th Edition) (MasteringMeteorology Series) by Edward AguadoJames E. Burt 

Focus on Severe Weather: Recent Deadly Cyclones

Understanding Weather and Climate (7th Edition) (MasteringMeteorology Series) by Edward AguadoJames E. Burt 

Focus on Severe Weather: The Galveston Hurricane of 1900

Understanding Weather and Climate (7th Edition) (MasteringMeteorology Series) by Edward AguadoJames E. Burt 

Focus on Severe Weather: Hurricane Katrina


Understanding Weather and Climate (7th Edition) (MasteringMeteorology Series) by Edward AguadoJames E. Burt 

Focus on Severe Weather: 2005--A Historic Hurricane Season

Understanding Weather and Climate (7th Edition) (MasteringMeteorology Series) by Edward AguadoJames E. Burt 

Focus on the Environment and Societal Impacts: Life and Death Decisions with the Threat of Tornadoes

Understanding Weather and Climate (7th Edition) (MasteringMeteorology Series) by Edward AguadoJames E. Burt 

Focus on Severe Weather: Deadly 2011 and 2013 Tornado Seasons

Understanding Weather and Climate (7th Edition) (MasteringMeteorology Series) by Edward AguadoJames E. Burt 

Focus on Severe Weather: A Personal Account of Ball Lightning

Understanding Weather and Climate (7th Edition) (MasteringMeteorology Series) by Edward AguadoJames E. Burt 

Friday, March 18, 2016

Focus on Severe Weather: Interacting Air Masses Spawn a Powerful Nor'easter

Understanding Weather and Climate (7th Edition) (MasteringMeteorology Series) by Edward AguadoJames E. Burt 

Focus on Severe Weather: A Cold Front Chills Louisiana

Understanding Weather and Climate (7th Edition) (MasteringMeteorology Series) by Edward AguadoJames E. Burt 

Forecasting: Potential Instability

Understanding Weather and Climate (7th Edition) (MasteringMeteorology Series) by Edward AguadoJames E. Burt

Focus on the Environment & Societal Impacts: Recent Severe Heat Waves

Understanding Weather and Climate (7th Edition) (MasteringMeteorology Series) by Edward AguadoJames E. Burt

Friday, May 8, 2015

Earth Science (Meteorology)

Temperatures and Temperature Patterns

-          Measured in: Fahrenheit, Celsius, Kelvin (no negatives)
-          Should be above ground (5ft, ~1.5 meters), natural surface, and shaded
-          Normal ≤ 30years worth of data

Influences/Factors: LOCALS
-          Latitudes
o   Variations in solar angle and day length depend on latitude
o   Increased latitude = increased range
o   Related to net radiation
§  Net gain – tropics and subtropics
§  Net loss – poleward of 38°
-          Ocean currents
o   Warm vs. cold
-          Cloud cover
o   Daily range is dependent on humidity and cloudiness (less clouds = more range; more clouds = less range)
-          Altitude
o   Decrease temperature, air pressure, and ______
o   On average, temp decreases at 6.5°C/km in the troposphere. Therefore, it’s expected to be cooler at greater heights.
-          Land & water, proximity to water

-          Surface type


2/12/14

Thunderstorms and Severe Weather

Wedge tornado = a tornado that is wider than it is tall

Thunderstorm = a localized storm produced by a cumulonimbus cloud and always accompanied by lightning and thunder

Thunderstorms are most common in Florida because it is a peninsula.

Ingredients for Thunderstorms
Moisture
-       Typical source is from the large bodies of water (Atlantic ocean, Pacific ocean, Gulf of Mexico)
-       Measurements: dewpoint (TD) and relative humidity (RH)

Lift                                                                                                                                     
-       Topography                                                                                                  
-       
Air density
-       Drylines
-       Outflow boundaries

Instability
-       Warm moist air at the surface and cold air above that
-       CAPE = potential energy of a storm
-       Warm air rises
                                                                                                            


Severe Thunderstorms:
To be severe, you have to have...
-       Winds >= 58mph
-       Hail 1” +
-       Tornado

Stages of Thunderstorm Development


-       Cumulus Stage
o   Dominated by updraft
o   Bergeron builds precipitation supported by updraft
-       Mature Stage
o   Side-by-side updraft and downdraft
o   Downdraft has heavy rainfall, cold pool
o   Most severe stage
-       Dissipating Stage
o   Downdrafts dominate
o   Light precipitation

Severe Weather:
-       1” hail
-       Wind gusts ≥ 58mph
-       Tornado

Types of Thunderstorms
-       Single Cell (Air Mass)
o   Commonly form in warm mT air masses during the summer
o   Short lived (less than 30mins)
o   Weak
o   Rarely produce severe weather
-       Multicellular
o   Single cells lumped together
o   Squall line forms ahead of a cold front as a line of thunderstorms
o   MSC – Mesoscale Convective Systems
§  Thunderstorm complex about the size of the state of Iowa
§  Flood and severe weather producers
§  Tend to dominate summer months in U.S.
o   Often more intense than single-cells
-       Squall-line
-       Supercell
o   Rotating updraft
o   Speed + directional shear
o   Produce damaging winds, grapefruit size hail, and tornadoes

Lightning
-       Electrical discharge between 2 charge centers
-       Can be within a cloud
-       Travels at the speed of sound (1000ft/s, 1 mile every 5 seconds)
-       Distance = time(sec)/5
-       Average temp is hotter than the surface of the sun

Bow Echoes and Derechos
-       Strong winds and downdrafts
-       Last a long time and cover large areas

Hail
-       Ice
-       Forms by recycling up into the updraft

Tornadoes
-       Violently rotating column of air descending from a thunderstorm and in contact with the ground
-       Most are brief, lasting only a few minutes. Sometimes last for more than an hour
-       On average 100 people a year are killed by tornadoes (30yrs average of 65)
-       45% of all fatalities occurred in mobile homes
-       Most rotate counter-clockwise
-       Typical diameter is 300-2000 ft
-       Usually move SW to NE
-       Winds rage 75-250mph
-       Can consist of one or multiple vortices
-       Fujita Intensity Scale

Why does the south have a disproportionate number of fatalities?
-       More tornadoes during nighttime hours
o   between sunset and sunrise
o   more difficult to spot
o   days are shorter Ã  more likely to occur at night
-       More forest cover
-       Strong tornadoes
-       Storm move faster (stronger wind shear)
-       Lower base clouds
-       Higher population density
-       Lack of a focus on “tornado season”
o   Complacency
-       More mobile homes/weak frame housing structure (reduce visibility)
-       Other
o   Education
o   Coping styles
o   Warning distribution systems


Instability = CAPE (has the potential to be unstable) more CAPE, mean more instability
Lift = convergence, low pressure, mountains
Wind Shear = speed/direction (between0 & 6km if >= 35knots+ you’re going to get supercells)

Floods

Tropical Weather
-       Occurs between 0 and 23.5 degrees N & S
-       Differs from midlatitue weather:
o   No major air mass differences (lots of heat & humidity)
o   Easterly winds
o   Not much temperature differences
Hurricane
-       An intense storm of tropical origin with sustained winds exceeding 74mph
-       Conditions for development
o   >27C or 80F (june through November)
o   Convergence
o   Forms 5-20degrees latitude
-       Will not form 0-5degrees N & S of equator
-       Cannot pass through the hemisphere
-       DO NOT LIKE WIND SHEAR
-       Stages of development
1.    Tropical disturbance
2.    Tropical depression
3.    Tropical storm
4.    Hurricane
-       Weakening
o   Move over cooler water
o   Move onto land
o   Move into very strong wind shear
-       Official season June – November
-       Peaks: Aug, Sep, Oct (80% of Hurricanes)
-       Saffir-Simpson Intensity Scale
-       Hazards
o   High wind speed
o   Flooding
o   Storm surge
o   Tornadoes
-       Most destructive side is the right (wind speed, storm surge tornadoes)
-       WATCH issued 24-48hrs prior to landfall
-       WARNING issued within 24hrs prior to landfall